AIHostingTycoon/packages/game-engine/src/systems/market/index.ts

import type { GameState, MarketState, ModelCapabilities } from '@ai-tycoon/shared';
import { CONSUMER_TOKENS_PER_SUBSCRIBER, API_TOKENS_PER_DEVELOPER_PER_TICK, BATCH_API_DEMAND_PER_DEV, makeInitialServingMetrics } from '@ai-tycoon/shared';
import type { TrafficPriority, TierServingMetrics } from '@ai-tycoon/shared';
import { computeSeasonal } from './seasonalSystem';
import { updateObsolescence } from './obsolescenceSystem';
import { buildPlayerProfile, buildCompetitorProfile, computeMarketShares, updateTAMGrowth } from './tamSystem';
import { processConsumerTiers } from './consumerTierSystem';
import { processApiTiers } from './apiTierSystem';
import { processProductLines } from './productLines';
import { processDeveloperEcosystem } from './developerEcosystem';
import { processEnterprisePipeline } from './enterprisePipeline';
import { processServingPipeline } from './servingPipeline';
import type { DemandByTier } from './servingPipeline';
import type { ResearchBonuses } from '../researchBonuses';

export interface MarketTickResult {
  marketState: MarketState;
  apiRevenue: number;
  subscriptionRevenue: number;
  totalTokenDemand: number;
}

const SEGMENT_CAPABILITY_WEIGHTS: Record<string, Partial<Record<keyof ModelCapabilities, number>>> = {
  consumer:   { creative: 0.35, knowledge: 0.25, reasoning: 0.15, multimodal: 0.15, coding: 0.05, agents: 0.05 },
  enterprise: { reasoning: 0.25, coding: 0.20, agents: 0.20, knowledge: 0.15, math: 0.10, multimodal: 0.10 },
  developer:  { coding: 0.35, reasoning: 0.20, agents: 0.20, math: 0.15, knowledge: 0.10 },
  research:   { reasoning: 0.30, math: 0.30, knowledge: 0.20, coding: 0.10, agents: 0.10 },
};

function getSegmentQuality(
  segment: 'consumer' | 'enterprise' | 'developer' | 'research',
  capabilities: ModelCapabilities,
  fallbackScore: number,
): number {
  const weights = SEGMENT_CAPABILITY_WEIGHTS[segment];
  if (!weights) return fallbackScore / 100;
  let weightedSum = 0;
  let totalWeight = 0;
  for (const [cap, weight] of Object.entries(weights)) {
    const score = capabilities[cap as keyof ModelCapabilities] ?? 0;
    if (score > 0) {
      weightedSum += (score / 100) * weight;
      totalWeight += weight;
    }
  }
  return totalWeight > 0 ? weightedSum / totalWeight : fallbackScore / 100;
}

export function processMarketV2(
  state: GameState,
  currentTickCapacity: number,
  effectiveInferenceFlops?: number,
  researchBonuses?: ResearchBonuses,
): MarketTickResult {
  const caps = state.models.bestDeployedCapabilities;
  const hasDeployed = state.models.bestDeployedModelScore > 0;
  const consumerQuality = getSegmentQuality('consumer', caps, state.models.bestDeployedModelScore);
  const enterpriseQuality = getSegmentQuality('enterprise', caps, state.models.bestDeployedModelScore);
  const modelQuality = hasDeployed
    ? (consumerQuality + enterpriseQuality) / 2
    : state.models.bestDeployedModelScore / 100;

  const seasonal = computeSeasonal(state.meta.tickCount);

  const obsolescence = updateObsolescence(
    state.market.obsolescence,
    state.meta.currentEra,
    state.meta.tickCount,
  );

  const freeApiDevs = state.market.apiTiers.tiers.free.developerCount;
  const totalApiDevs = state.market.apiTiers.totalDevelopers;
  const engineeringCount = state.talent.departments.engineering.headcount;

  const devEcosystem = processDeveloperEcosystem(
    state.market.developerEcosystem,
    state.market.openSourcedModels.length,
    freeApiDevs,
    totalApiDevs,
    engineeringCount,
    state.meta.currentEra,
  );

  const chatProduct = state.models.productLines.find(p => p.type === 'chat-product');
  const textApi = state.models.productLines.find(p => p.type === 'text-api');

  const chatPrice = chatProduct?.pricing.subscriptionPrice ?? 20;
  const apiOutPrice = textApi?.pricing.outputTokenPrice ?? 3;

  const hasAnyFreeTier = state.market.consumerTiers.tiers.free.config.isActive
    || state.market.apiTiers.tiers.free.config.isActive;

  const playerProfile = buildPlayerProfile(
    modelQuality,
    chatPrice,
    apiOutPrice,
    state.reputation.score,
    devEcosystem,
    obsolescence,
    hasAnyFreeTier,
  );

  const activeRivals = state.competitors.rivals.filter(r => r.status === 'active');
  const competitorProfiles = activeRivals.map(buildCompetitorProfile);
  const allProfiles = [playerProfile, ...competitorProfiles];

  let tam = updateTAMGrowth(state.market.tam, state.meta.currentEra);
  tam = computeMarketShares(tam, allProfiles, obsolescence.marketQualityBaseline);

  const playerConsumerCustomers = tam.segments.consumer.shares.find(s => s.playerId === 'player')?.customers ?? 0;
  const playerDevCustomers = tam.segments.developer.shares.find(s => s.playerId === 'player')?.customers ?? 0;
  const playerEntCustomers = tam.segments.enterprise.shares.find(s => s.playerId === 'player')?.customers ?? 0;

  // --- Product Lines (compute first to get token demand) ---
  const productResult = processProductLines(
    state.market.codeAssistant,
    state.market.agentsPlatform,
    caps,
    playerDevCustomers,
    playerEntCustomers,
    seasonal.multipliers.consumer,
    seasonal.multipliers.enterprise,
  );

  // --- Pre-compute demand estimates by tier for serving pipeline ---
  const consumerTiers = state.market.consumerTiers;
  const apiTiers = state.market.apiTiers;
  const enterprise = state.market.enterprise;

  const consumerPaidTokens = (consumerTiers.tiers.plus.userCount + consumerTiers.tiers.pro.userCount + consumerTiers.tiers.team.userCount) * CONSUMER_TOKENS_PER_SUBSCRIBER;
  const consumerFreeTokens = consumerTiers.tiers.free.userCount * CONSUMER_TOKENS_PER_SUBSCRIBER;

  const apiPaidTokens =
    apiTiers.tiers.payg.developerCount * API_TOKENS_PER_DEVELOPER_PER_TICK.payg
    + apiTiers.tiers.scale.developerCount * API_TOKENS_PER_DEVELOPER_PER_TICK.scale
    + apiTiers.tiers['enterprise-api'].developerCount * API_TOKENS_PER_DEVELOPER_PER_TICK['enterprise-api']
    + productResult.codeAssistantTokenDemand;
  const apiFreeTokens = apiTiers.tiers.free.developerCount * API_TOKENS_PER_DEVELOPER_PER_TICK.free;

  let enterpriseTokens = 0;
  for (const contract of enterprise.activeContracts) {
    enterpriseTokens += contract.tokensPerTick;
  }
  enterpriseTokens += productResult.agentsPlatformTokenDemand;

  const demandByTier: DemandByTier = {
    'enterprise': enterpriseTokens,
    'api-paid': apiPaidTokens,
    'consumer-paid': consumerPaidTokens,
    'api-free': apiFreeTokens,
    'consumer-free': consumerFreeTokens,
  };

  // --- Batch API demand ---
  let batchDemand = 0;
  if (state.market.overloadPolicy.batchApiEnabled) {
    for (const id of ['free', 'payg', 'scale', 'enterprise-api'] as const) {
      batchDemand += apiTiers.tiers[id].developerCount * (BATCH_API_DEMAND_PER_DEV[id] ?? 0);
    }
    batchDemand *= Math.max(0.1, modelQuality);
  }

  const completedResearch = state.research?.completedResearch ?? [];

  // --- Serving Pipeline ---
  const servingResult = processServingPipeline({
    modelsState: state.models,
    effectiveInferenceFlops: effectiveInferenceFlops ?? currentTickCapacity,
    overloadPolicy: state.market.overloadPolicy,
    demandByTier,
    batchApi: {
      ...state.market.batchApi,
      totalBatchDemand: batchDemand,
    },
    modelQuality,
    researchUnlocks: {
      servingRoutingUnlocked: completedResearch.includes('request-routing'),
      priorityQueuesUnlocked: completedResearch.includes('priority-queues'),
      batchApiUnlocked: completedResearch.includes('request-batching'),
      autoScalingBonus: completedResearch.includes('auto-scaling') ? 0.2 : 0,
    },
  });

  const sm = servingResult.servingMetrics;

  // --- Consumer Tiers (now with serving metrics) ---
  const consumerResult = processConsumerTiers(
    state.market.consumerTiers,
    playerConsumerCustomers,
    modelQuality,
    state.reputation.score,
    seasonal.multipliers.consumer,
    state.infrastructure.networkLatencyPenalty,
    sm.tierMetrics['consumer-paid'],
    sm.tierMetrics['consumer-free'],
  );

  // --- API Tiers (now with serving metrics) ---
  const apiResult = processApiTiers(
    state.market.apiTiers,
    playerDevCustomers,
    modelQuality,
    seasonal.multipliers.api,
    devEcosystem,
    sm.tierMetrics['api-paid'],
    sm.tierMetrics['api-free'],
  );

  // --- Enterprise Pipeline (now with serving metrics) ---
  const salesDept = state.talent.departments.sales;

  const enterpriseResult = processEnterprisePipeline(
    state.market.enterprise,
    state.reputation.score,
    state.models.bestDeployedModelScore,
    state.models.bestDeployedSafetyScore,
    salesDept.headcount,
    salesDept.effectiveness,
    devEcosystem,
    seasonal.multipliers.enterprise,
    state.meta.tickCount,
    sm.tierMetrics['enterprise'],
  );

  // --- Aggregate revenue ---
  const subscriptionRevenue = consumerResult.subscriptionRevenue
    + productResult.codeAssistantRevenue
    + productResult.agentsPlatformRevenue;

  let apiRevenue = apiResult.apiRevenue
    + enterpriseResult.contractRevenue
    - enterpriseResult.slaPenalties
    + servingResult.batchRevenue;

  const totalTokenDemand = consumerResult.totalConsumerTokenDemand
    + apiResult.totalApiTokenDemand
    + enterpriseResult.contractTokenDemand
    + productResult.codeAssistantTokenDemand
    + productResult.agentsPlatformTokenDemand;

  // --- Subscriber history ---
  const subscriberHistory = [...(state.market.subscriberHistory || [])];
  if (state.meta.tickCount % 60 === 0) {
    subscriberHistory.push({ tick: state.meta.tickCount, subscribers: consumerResult.consumerTiers.totalUsers });
    if (subscriberHistory.length > 500) subscriberHistory.shift();
  }

  // --- Open source effects ---
  const openSourceCount = state.market.openSourcedModels.length;
  if (openSourceCount > 0) {
    const revenueReduction = openSourceCount * 0.10 * 0.3;
    apiRevenue = apiRevenue * (1 - revenueReduction);
  }

  return {
    marketState: {
      ...state.market,
      tam,
      consumerTiers: consumerResult.consumerTiers,
      apiTiers: apiResult.apiTiers,
      codeAssistant: productResult.codeAssistant,
      agentsPlatform: productResult.agentsPlatform,
      enterprise: enterpriseResult.enterprise,
      developerEcosystem: devEcosystem,
      seasonalPhase: seasonal.phase,
      seasonalMultiplier: seasonal.multipliers.consumer,
      obsolescence,
      servingMetrics: sm,
      batchApi: servingResult.batchApi,
      subscriberHistory,
    },
    apiRevenue: Math.max(0, apiRevenue),
    subscriptionRevenue,
    totalTokenDemand,
  };
}