Redesign system interconnections display: group by health, inline diagnoses

Remove misleading Reputation -> Era Gates connection (score 0 meant
"already sufficient," not broken). Add diagnosis and eventLabel fields
to each connection. Group output: broken links first with [!!] and
plain-language explanation, then healthy links as compact one-liners.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

packages/game-simulation/src/analysis/systemInterconnections.ts

@@ -6,7 +6,9 @@ export interface SystemConnection {
   to: string;
   score: number;
   evidence: string;
+  diagnosis: string;
   events: number;
+  eventLabel: string;
 }
 
 export interface InterconnectionResult {
@@ -139,11 +141,16 @@ export function analyzeSystemInterconnections(
       }
     }
     const score = events > 0 ? scoreFromDelta(totalDelta, events, 5) : 0;
+    const avgDelta = events > 0 ? (totalDelta / events).toFixed(1) : '0';
     connections.push({
       from: 'Research', to: 'Model Capability', score, events,
+      eventLabel: 'research completions',
       evidence: events > 0
-        ? `${events} research completions, avg capability delta: ${(totalDelta / events).toFixed(1)}`
+        ? `${events} research completions, avg capability delta: ${avgDelta}`
         : 'No research completions observed',
+      diagnosis: score >= 7 ? 'Strong link'
+        : events === 0 ? 'No research completions observed'
+        : `Research completions did not improve model capability (avg delta: ${avgDelta})`,
     });
   }
 
@@ -162,9 +169,13 @@ export function analyzeSystemInterconnections(
     const score = events > 0 && totalDelta > 0 ? Math.min(10, Math.round((totalDelta / events / 100) * 10)) : 0;
     connections.push({
       from: 'Research', to: 'Infrastructure', score, events,
+      eventLabel: 'research completions',
       evidence: events > 0
         ? `${events} research completions, avg FLOPS delta: ${(totalDelta / events).toFixed(0)}`
         : 'No research completions observed',
+      diagnosis: score >= 7 ? 'Strong link'
+        : events === 0 ? 'No research completions observed'
+        : `Research completions did not increase compute FLOPS`,
     });
   }
 
@@ -181,11 +192,16 @@ export function analyzeSystemInterconnections(
       }
     }
     const score = events > 0 ? scoreFromDelta(totalDelta, events, 3) : 0;
+    const avgChange = events > 0 ? (totalDelta / events).toFixed(1) : '0';
     connections.push({
       from: 'Talent', to: 'Training', score, events,
+      eventLabel: 'hiring spikes',
       evidence: events > 0
-        ? `${events} hiring spikes, avg capability change: ${(totalDelta / events).toFixed(1)}`
+        ? `${events} hiring spikes, avg capability change: ${avgChange}`
         : 'No significant hiring events observed',
+      diagnosis: score >= 7 ? 'Strong link'
+        : events === 0 ? 'No significant hiring events observed'
+        : `Hiring had no effect on training capability (avg delta: ${avgChange})`,
     });
   }
 
@@ -204,9 +220,13 @@ export function analyzeSystemInterconnections(
     const score = events > 0 && totalDelta > 0 ? Math.min(10, Math.round((totalDelta / events) * 5)) : 0;
     connections.push({
       from: 'Talent', to: 'Enterprise', score, events,
+      eventLabel: 'hiring spikes',
       evidence: events > 0
         ? `${events} hiring spikes, avg enterprise contract delta: ${(totalDelta / events).toFixed(1)}`
         : 'No hiring events observed',
+      diagnosis: score >= 7 ? 'Strong link'
+        : events === 0 ? 'No hiring events observed'
+        : `Hiring did not lead to enterprise contracts`,
     });
   }
 
@@ -225,9 +245,13 @@ export function analyzeSystemInterconnections(
     const score = events > 0 ? Math.min(10, Math.max(0, Math.round((totalDelta / events) * 20))) : 0;
     connections.push({
       from: 'Infrastructure', to: 'Revenue', score, events,
+      eventLabel: 'compute expansions',
       evidence: events > 0
         ? `${events} compute growth events, avg revenue growth: ${((totalDelta / events) * 100).toFixed(1)}%`
         : 'No compute growth events observed',
+      diagnosis: score >= 7 ? 'Strong link'
+        : events === 0 ? 'No compute growth events observed'
+        : `Compute growth did not increase revenue`,
     });
   }
 
@@ -249,9 +273,13 @@ export function analyzeSystemInterconnections(
     const score = events > 0 ? Math.min(10, Math.max(0, Math.round((totalDelta / events) * 10))) : 0;
     connections.push({
       from: 'Models', to: 'Revenue', score, events,
+      eventLabel: 'model deployments',
       evidence: events > 0
         ? `${events} model deployments, avg revenue change: ${((totalDelta / events) * 100).toFixed(1)}%`
         : 'No model deployments observed',
+      diagnosis: score >= 7 ? 'Strong link'
+        : events === 0 ? 'No model deployments observed'
+        : `Model deployments did not increase revenue`,
     });
   }
 
@@ -270,34 +298,13 @@ export function analyzeSystemInterconnections(
     const score = events > 0 && totalDelta > 0 ? Math.min(10, Math.round((totalDelta / events) * 5)) : 0;
     connections.push({
       from: 'Models', to: 'Enterprise', score, events,
+      eventLabel: 'model deployments',
       evidence: events > 0
         ? `${events} deployments, avg enterprise contract delta: ${(totalDelta / events).toFixed(1)}`
         : 'No model deployments observed',
-    });
-  }
-
-  // Reputation → Era gates
-  {
-    let score = 0;
-    const eraChanges = [];
-    for (let i = 1; i < metrics.length; i++) {
-      if (metrics[i].era !== metrics[i - 1].era) {
-        eraChanges.push({ tick: metrics[i].tick, repBefore: metrics[i - 1].reputation });
-      }
-    }
-    if (eraChanges.length > 0) {
-      let bindingCount = 0;
-      for (const ec of eraChanges) {
-        const before = findMetricAtTick(metrics, ec.tick - 120);
-        if (before && (ec.repBefore - before.reputation) > 1) bindingCount++;
-      }
-      score = Math.min(10, Math.round((bindingCount / eraChanges.length) * 10));
-    }
-    connections.push({
-      from: 'Reputation', to: 'Era Gates', score, events: eraChanges.length,
-      evidence: eraChanges.length > 0
-        ? `${eraChanges.length} era transitions observed`
-        : 'No era transitions observed',
+      diagnosis: score >= 7 ? 'Strong link'
+        : events === 0 ? 'No model deployments observed'
+        : `Model deployments did not attract enterprise contracts`,
     });
   }
 
@@ -320,9 +327,13 @@ export function analyzeSystemInterconnections(
     const score = events > 0 ? Math.min(10, Math.max(0, Math.round((totalDelta / events) * 10))) : 0;
     connections.push({
       from: 'Funding', to: 'Growth', score, events,
+      eventLabel: 'funding rounds',
       evidence: events > 0
         ? `${events} funding rounds, avg revenue growth: ${((totalDelta / events) * 100).toFixed(1)}%`
         : 'No funding rounds observed',
+      diagnosis: score >= 7 ? 'Strong link'
+        : events === 0 ? 'No funding rounds observed'
+        : `Funding rounds did not boost revenue`,
     });
   }
 
@@ -338,11 +349,16 @@ export function analyzeSystemInterconnections(
       }
     }
     const score = totalSamples > 0 ? Math.min(10, Math.round((wellUtilizedCount / totalSamples) * 10)) : 0;
+    const pct = totalSamples > 0 ? ((wellUtilizedCount / totalSamples) * 100).toFixed(1) : '0';
     connections.push({
       from: 'Compute', to: 'Serving', score, events: totalSamples,
+      eventLabel: 'utilization samples',
       evidence: totalSamples > 0
         ? `${wellUtilizedCount}/${totalSamples} samples with healthy utilization (20-95%)`
         : 'No compute capacity observed',
+      diagnosis: score >= 7 ? 'Strong link'
+        : totalSamples === 0 ? 'No compute capacity observed'
+        : `Only ${wellUtilizedCount}/${totalSamples} samples (${pct}%) in healthy utilization range (20-95%)`,
     });
   }